Global warming is likely to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme or abnormal weather events (Herring et al, 2018, NASEM, 2016). In this note, we quantify the uncertainty of GDP outcomes resulting from abnormal weather events, considering both the initial destruction that is caused by the event as well as the boost to activity from the subsequent rebuild.
We study the effectiveness of policy tools that deal with bank distress (i.e. central bank lending, asset purchases, bank liability guarantees, impaired asset segregation schemes). We present and draw on a novel database that tracks the use of such tools in 29 countries between 1980 and 2016.
This Bulletin traces the use of the swap lines and their impact on global banking positions. In doing so, it highlights the critical role that banks play in international payments, and capital flows more generally.
We provide a simple and tractable accounting-based stress-testing framework to assess loss dynamics in the banking sector, in a context of leverage targeting. Contagion can occur through direct interbank exposures, and indirect exposures due to overlapping portfolios with the associated price dynamics via fire sales.
Highlights of the Basel III monitoring exercise as of 31 December 2019
Banks with a low price-to-book ratio have a greater propensity to pay out dividends. This propensity is especially marked for banks with a price-to-book ratio below a threshold of 0.7. As a sector, banks also tend to have higher dividend payout ratios than non-financial firms. We demonstrate these features using data for 271 advanced economy banks in 30 jurisdictions.
Report by the Consultative Group on Innovation and the Digital Economy (CGIDE) established at the BIS Representative Office for the Americas, 8 December 2020
BIS Quarterly Review for December 2020: This Quarterly Review shows markets rebounded in November, but concerns about the daylight between valuations and the economic outlook persisted. Government bond yields stayed unusually low, supported by monetary accommodation, sustaining the search for yield. The relative performance of EME currencies partly reflected structural features of domestic economies.
The Committee is issuing a supplemental note to its 2014 guidance External audits of banks following the implementation of expected credit loss (ECL) accounting frameworks in various jurisdictions that have brought about significant changes for banks and their external auditors.
Project Helvetia: Settling tokenised assets in central bank money
