FEDS Paper: A Macroeconomic Analysis of Household Labor Supply Responses to Large Fiscal Transfers

Isabel Cairó, Shigeru Fujita, and Camilo Morales-JimenezThe fiscal transfers deployed during the COVID-19 pandemic were unprecedented in scale and strongly progressive. Using CPS/ASEC data, we document that the decline in employment during the pandemic was larger for low-income households and tightly linked to the intensity of transfer receipt, a pattern absent during the Global Financial Crisis.

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