The Labour leader Keir Starmer has warned that if his party wins the next UK general election, he will not be able to “turn on the spending taps”. Speaking at a thinktank event focused on the stagnation of the UK economy, he said the country was “in a hole” after 13 years of Conservative rule.

We estimate spillovers from US monetary policy for different measures in the Federal Reserve’s toolkit. We make use of novel measures of exogenous variation in conventional rate policy, forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) based on high-frequency asset-price surprises around Federal Open Market Committee meetings. The identification relies on relatively weak assumptions and accounts for the possible presence of residual endogenous components—such as central bank information effects—in these monetary policy surprises.

We estimate spillovers from US monetary policy for different measures in the Federal Reserve’s toolkit. We make use of novel measures of exogenous variation in conventional rate policy, forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) based on high-frequency asset-price surprises around Federal Open Market Committee meetings. The identification relies on relatively weak assumptions and accounts for the possible presence of residual endogenous components—such as central bank information effects—in these monetary policy surprises.

When it comes to Greek house prices, there’s good news and there’s bad news. On the one hand, some read the recent rebound in property values almost to pre-crisis levels as a sign that the Greek economy is returning to normality after the decade-long financial crisis.