The government has delayed the toughest spending decisions – but here’s what we do know after the budget

Prime Minister Andy Burnham congratulates Chancellor John Healey after his first budget. © House of Commons, CC BY-NC-NDJohn Healey’s steady-as-she-goes budget was a picture of a government doing its best to offer “what help we can afford”, while weathering the economic storms. But despite its 98 policy measures, decisions on some of the biggest issues appear to have been kicked down the road.

IFDP Paper: When and for Whom Does the Sovereign-Bank Nexus Matter? Evidence from Post-Crisis Europe

Charlotte Hoopes, Pinar Uysal, and Ilknur ZerWe study whether sovereign risk continues to affect banks a decade after Europe began reshaping its financial architecture. Combining daily bank and sovereign credit default swap spreads with supervisory data on banks' domestic sovereign portfolios, we show that the sovereign-bank relationship remains economically meaningful but is highly conditional.

How different election results affect bank stability – global study

Recent elections in Brazil and Israel have yielded different political outcomes. In Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s narrow and ultimately surprise victory in a presidential runoff vote has kept him in office.

In Israel, meanwhile, an inconclusive election result has left uncertainty over the formation of the next government. These outcomes are likely to have an effect on the stability of the financial systems in both countries.

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