UK

Fundamental but Forgotten - the Early Years Sector

New guidance from Public Health England provides more evidence of the interconnected nature of health, care and education, and of the fundamental role early years practitioners play in supporting young children’s speech, language and communication development.  But with the early years sector struggling to survive in the wake of the pandemic, many children may miss out on this much needed support.  Where is the support for the early years sector?

The Lockdown Weighted inflation CPILW for September 2020

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute
 
 
Summary
The CPIH measure of inflation has increased to 0.7% in September 2020, from its August level of 0.5%. The CPILW decreased slightly to 0.9% from the August value of 1.0%.

NELI’s language development programme - a useful tool in every school’s arsenal

Many professionals within the early years sector are understandably angry at the government’s record around the early years given its crucial importance in children’s life.  These include issues around insufficient funding, the development of new frameworks without genuine sector consultation and the lack of focus on supporting pre-school settings.  We are concerned that this frustration has led to misunderstandings being widely shared about a programme designed to support early language skills, and this may prove harmful for supporting informed decision making.

The Lockdown Weighted inflation CPI-LW for August 2020

This blog is written by NIESR Fellow Huw Dixon. Any opinions expressed in the paper are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute
 
Summary
The CPIH measure of inflation has decreased to 0.5% in August 2020, from its July level of 1.1%. The CPILW fell by less, with an August value of 1.0% down from the previous month 1.2%. 

Is it all quiet on the inflation front?

The COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to have a significant impact on medium-run inflation expectations particularly if considered in conjunction with large fiscal stimuli, ultra-loose monetary policies and the risk of de-globalization. The recent review of monetary policy framework by the Federal Reserve, focusing on an average inflation target strategy, highlights how difficult it can be to keep inflation expectations well-anchored when secular factors are at play (i.e.

Low Growth is the “New Normal” for the UK and Other Western Economies

 
The Coronavirus pandemic has cast a dark cloud over UK economic prospects for the 2020s. The latest NIESR forecast suggests that GDP will not return to its 2019 level until 2023 or 2024. The Bank of England is more optimistic about the potential for the UK economy to bounce back but it is still not expecting the 2019 level of GDP to be exceeded until 2022. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) central scenario is for a recovery somewhere between the NIESR and Bank projections.
 

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