Whether it’s a ‘productivity puzzle’ or the ‘British disease’, the UK economy has been underperforming for decades

Maridav/ShutterstockHistory does not repeat itself, but it rhymes – and economic history is no exception. In 1964, a Labour government came to power in the UK with a pledge to curb inflation and to deliver growth. The growth plans were short lived. In 2024, in a cost-of-living crisis, Labour again won an election with a promise to “kick-start economic growth”. Only 18 months in, and plans have stalled again.

FEDS Paper: The Effect of Liquidity Constraints on Labor Supply: Evidence from Interest Rate Ceilings

Kabir Dasgupta, Brenden J. MasonWe exploit the spatiotemporal variation in US states’ interest rate ceilings on small-dollar loans to identify the effect of liquidity constraints on labor supply. Exogenously-capped interest rates lead to consumers being shut out of the market for cash loans. In response, labor supply increases by approximately 0.4 hours per week. We also find that the propensity to take personal leaves decreases.

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