Can structural reforms unleash private investment?

This paper examines the impact of labour and product market reforms on private investment across 26 advanced economies from 1975 to 2020. To this end, we combine a narrative database on major structural reforms with local projections and augmented inverse probability weighting. We find that a major labour market reform typically increases the level of real private investment by 5% cumulatively within six years, while a major product market reform yields an impact of 3%.

The AI Boom Runs on an Even More Dangerous Machine (Part 1)

AI is powered by more than algorithms – underneath is a flawed, decades-old corporate operating system that redirects gains away from workers. The good news: It doesn’t have to be this way. Part of “AI and the Future of the American Worker,” a series on how artificial intelligence is impacting labor, power, and the meaning of work.
Thomas Ferguson isn’t easily surprised. He’s spent decades following the trail of money through America’s economy and political system, exposing patterns people like Jeff Bezos might prefer you didn’t see.

Monetary policy and the rigidity of firm employment expectations

This paper examines how monetary policy announcements affect firms’ employment expectations. Using German survey data, we combine high-frequency monetary policy surprises with survey response dates to identify the immediate and dynamic effects of monetary policy on firm-level expectations and subsequent employment. Contractionary shocks lead firms to revise employment plans downward immediately and persistently, eventually reducing employment growth. Initially, hiring plans are reduced, while layoffs increase later.

Monetary policy and the rigidity of firm employment expectations

This paper examines how monetary policy announcements affect firms’ employment expectations. Using German survey data, we combine high-frequency monetary policy surprises with survey response dates to identify the immediate and dynamic effects of monetary policy on firm-level expectations and subsequent employment. Contractionary shocks lead firms to revise employment plans downward immediately and persistently, eventually reducing employment growth. Initially, hiring plans are reduced, while layoffs increase later.

Trump administration’s Freedom 250 organization allegedly misdirected donors away from bipartisan America250 charity

Fireworks from the Freedom 250 celebration go off after delays due to a thunderstorm in the wee hours of July 5, 2026, in Washington. Photo by Kevin Carter/Getty ImagesFunding and planning for the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence fell largely to two nonprofits with similar names: America250 and Freedom 250.

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