IFDP Paper: Decoupling Dollar and Treasury Privilege

Wenxin Du, Ritt Keerati, and Jesse SchregerWe document a strong decoupling between the convenience yield on the US Dollar and US Treasuries. We measure the convenience of the U.S. dollar using covered interest parity (CIP) deviations between risk-free bank rates, such as secured overnight rates since the benchmark reform. In parallel, we measure the convenience of U.S. Treasury bonds through CIP deviations between government bond yields.

IFDP Paper: Economic Diversity and the Resilience of Cities

François de Soyres, Simon Fuchs, Illenin O. Kondo, and Helene MaghinWe develop a framework to assess how economic shocks affect local labor markets and worker welfare, with a focus on city-level economic diversity. Using detailed worker flow data across cities, sectors, and occupations, we construct theory-consistent welfare measures. Our approach combines a dynamic discrete choice model with a dual representation that captures both direct effects and the insurance value of local economic diversity.

Black-market oil buyers will push Venezuela for bigger discounts following US seizure – starving Maduro of much-needed revenue

A video posted on Attorney General Pam Bondi's X account shows the moment an oil tanker was seized by U.S. forces off the coast of Venezuela. U.S. Attorney General's Office/X via APThe U.S. seizure of an oil tanker off the Venezuelan coast looks designed to further squeeze the economy of President Nicolás Maduro’s country.

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