Global evidence on profit shifting within firms and across time

We provide estimates of profit shifting for over 2 million firm-year observations in 100 countries over the period 2009–2020. Employing nonparametric estimation techniques within a mainstay model of profit shifting, we examine how the profits of both parent and subsidiary firms within a multinational group respond to marginal changes in the composite tax indicator. The key advantage of this approach is that it yields firm-year estimates of profit shifting. Multinational firms engage in extensive profit shifting by maintaining affiliates in low-tax countries and zero-tax havens.

Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium

We show that in a canonical model with heterogeneous entrepreneurs, financial frictions, and an imperfectly elastic supply of capital, a fall in the interest rate has an ambiguous effect on aggregate economic activity. In partial equilibrium, a lower interest rate raises aggregate investment both by relaxing financial constraints and by prompting relatively less productive entrepreneurs to invest. In general equilibrium, however, this higher demand for capital raises its price and crowds out investment by more productive entrepreneurs.

Global evidence on profit shifting within firms and across time

We provide estimates of profit shifting for over 2 million firm-year observations in 100 countries over the period 2009–2020. Employing nonparametric estimation techniques within a mainstay model of profit shifting, we examine how the profits of both parent and subsidiary firms within a multinational group respond to marginal changes in the composite tax indicator. The key advantage of this approach is that it yields firm-year estimates of profit shifting. Multinational firms engage in extensive profit shifting by maintaining affiliates in low-tax countries and zero-tax havens.

Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium

We show that in a canonical model with heterogeneous entrepreneurs, financial frictions, and an imperfectly elastic supply of capital, a fall in the interest rate has an ambiguous effect on aggregate economic activity. In partial equilibrium, a lower interest rate raises aggregate investment both by relaxing financial constraints and by prompting relatively less productive entrepreneurs to invest. In general equilibrium, however, this higher demand for capital raises its price and crowds out investment by more productive entrepreneurs.

6 simple questions to tell if a ‘finfluencer’ is more flash than cash

Oleg Golovnev/ShutterstockImages of flashy sports cars. Lavish lifestyle shots. These are just some of the red flags consumers should watch out for when they turn to social media for financial advice.

Consumers should not believe everything they see on Instagram, TikTok or YouTube from the growing numbers of “finfluencers” – content creators who build their audience by giving out financial advice.

Local institutional ownership and price discovery around extreme weather events

In this event study, we analyze the effect of market segmentation on stock returns in Europe amid extreme weather events. We show that local institutional ownership (LIO) mitigates the negative effect of the uncertainty from the occurrence of extreme weather events on stock prices. We assess firms’ exposure to physical climate risks using the Eurosystem’s method that uses physical climate risk indicators. In a sample with materially exposed industries, we find a negative risk-adjusted abnormal return of 99 basis points for storms on the event date.

Local institutional ownership and price discovery around extreme weather events

In this event study, we analyze the effect of market segmentation on stock returns in Europe amid extreme weather events. We show that local institutional ownership (LIO) mitigates the negative effect of the uncertainty from the occurrence of extreme weather events on stock prices. We assess firms’ exposure to physical climate risks using the Eurosystem’s method that uses physical climate risk indicators. In a sample with materially exposed industries, we find a negative risk-adjusted abnormal return of 99 basis points for storms on the event date.

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