Central banks

Energy security and industrial competitiveness: the case for a European Energy Union

The European energy market remains heavily reliant on imported fossil fuels and fragmented across Member States. This leaves the EU exposed to high and volatile energy prices, posing risks to its growth outlook and its international competitiveness. As the EU advances its energy security and climate neutrality objectives, the role of electricity and renewable energy is set to increase at the expense of fossil fuels.

Tariffs and foreign direct investment – a nuanced relationship

Tariffs have re-emerged as a key policy tool amid rising protectionism, renewed industrial policy activism and growing geopolitical fragmentation. This article analyses the conditions under which tariffs can encourage new greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) projects, with a focus on the manufacturing sector. The results indicate that tariffs can encourage “tariff-jumping” greenfield FDI projects aimed at serving local markets.

What’s new in the HICP? The 2026 classification update and its implications for inflation analysis

The European Central Bank (ECB) defines its price stability target in terms of the HICP, the official measure of consumer price inflation in the euro area. Several changes have been implemented in the compilation of the HICP as of the January 2026 data release. Most importantly, the European Classification of Individual Consumption according to Purpose (ECOICOP) version 2 has been introduced for consumer goods and services. This box describes the main features of the new classification and outlines its impact on the HICP.

Assessing cross-border integration of equity markets in the euro area: evidence from a gravity model

Euro area financial markets hold significant untapped potential: deeper cross-border integration would improve the allocation of savings, lower the cost of capital and strengthen capacity to finance investment and innovation. To assess how the integration of euro area equity markets has evolved over time, this box applies a structural gravity model, the workhorse of international trade analysis, to bilateral euro area equity holdings.

FEDS Paper: Does Banking Consolidation Harm Households?

Celso Brunetti, Jeffery H. Harris, Ioannis SpyridopoulosNo, in the mortgage market. Using confidential micro-level data combining mortgage contracts with credit and repayment records for 44 million loans spanning 5,000 bank mergers over nearly three decades, we find no changes to mortgage rates, approval rates, or delinquency rates. Local mortgage markets remain remarkably competitive despite consolidation, averaging over 100 active lenders in each county every post-merger quarter.

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