Beyond averages: heterogeneous effects of monetary policy in a HANK model for the euro area

We introduce an estimated medium scale Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model for forecasting and policy analysis in the Euro Area and discuss the applications of this type of models in central banks, focusing on two main exercises. First, we examine an alternative scenario for monetary policy during the early 2020s inflationary episode, showing that earlier hikes in interest rates would have affected more strongly households at the lower end of the wealth distribution, whose consumption our model suggests was already depressed relative to the rest of the population.

Cash is alive… and somewhat young? Decoupling age, period and cohort from euro cash use

Understanding the future of the demand for cash calls for an analysis that separates secular trends and age-related behaviours on different cash usage indicators. This article uses data from the 2019, 2022 and 2024 editions of the Eurosystem study on the payment attitudes of consumers in the euro area (SPACE) survey. It applies an age-period-cohort-interaction (APC-I) framework to illuminate patterns in transactional cash use, precautionary cash hoarding and the perceived importance of cash.

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