Trump’s Tariffs Are Sending Some Companies Back to China
For some U.S. brands seeking a location for their factories, the economic logic is once again pointing to China.
A SPOT in the dark: using AI to assess financial stability risks
Financial stability risks consist of two distinct components: vulnerabilities and possible trigger events. While there has been considerable progress regarding the measurement of vulnerabilities, the assessment of possible trigger events remains largely qualitative. To fill this gap, we employ Large Language Models to extract information about the Severity and Probability Of potential Trigger events (SPOT) from a large dataset of financial news articles over the period2005 – 2026.
Threshold endogeneity in vector autoregressions: reassessing monetary state dependence
We develop an endogenous threshold VAR that addresses contemporaneous dependence between the threshold variable and reduced-form innovations— a pervasive issue when regime indicators are jointly determined with system dynamics. A regime-specific copula-based control function removes this dependence instrument-free, without parametric assumptions on the threshold’s marginal distribution, while preserving the linear regime-wise least-squares structure.
Threshold endogeneity in vector autoregressions: reassessing monetary state dependence
We develop an endogenous threshold VAR that addresses contemporaneous dependence between the threshold variable and reduced-form innovations— a pervasive issue when regime indicators are jointly determined with system dynamics. A regime-specific copula-based control function removes this dependence instrument-free, without parametric assumptions on the threshold’s marginal distribution, while preserving the linear regime-wise least-squares structure.
A SPOT in the dark: using AI to assess financial stability risks
Financial stability risks consist of two distinct components: vulnerabilities and possible trigger events. While there has been considerable progress regarding the measurement of vulnerabilities, the assessment of possible trigger events remains largely qualitative. To fill this gap, we employ Large Language Models to extract information about the Severity and Probability Of potential Trigger events (SPOT) from a large dataset of financial news articles over the period2005 – 2026.
The EU has fined Google a billion dollars for ignoring competition rules – but will it have any effect?
The European Commission’s decision to fine Google €890 million (US$1 billion) for failing to comply with the EU Digital Markets Act sounds like a significant financial and political intervention against one of the world’s largest technology companies.
When England crashes out of a football tournament, the stock market takes a dive
On July 15 2026, England were just five tantalising minutes away from their first men’s World Cup final since 1966. But that was before Argentina scored two goals to claim victory in stoppage time.
The next morning, the professional reputation of England’s head coach Thomas Tuchel had taken quite a hit. So too had the London stock market, which dipped by 0.5% shortly after opening.
Trump administration changes to ‘public charge’ rule could keep millions of immigrants – and their US citizen kids – from getting healthcare they need
A new policy could deny an immigration application based on the use of government benefits by a close relative. wildpixel/iStock via Getty Images PlusImagine this scenario: It is 2023, and a woman we’ll call Jessica and her husband, Pedro, make the difficult decision to leave Venezuela for the United States after they become targets of political repression. Soon after their arrival, they apply for asylum.
Affordable housing often costs more to build than market-rate housing – Colorado is closing the gap
Reducing the administrative and regulatory costs associated with building affordable housing can increase the housing supply in Colorado. Helen H.
Building activity slows in April with 4.2% YoY rise
Building activity growth slowed significantly in April, with a rise of 4.2 percent year-on-year (YoY), after a jump of 22.3 percent in the previous month, according to the data released by the Hellenic Statistical Agency (ELSTAT) on Tuesday.
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